[目的/意义] 对公共文化服务政策发展趋势的分析可为未来公共文化服务建设的政策规划、制定与调整提供启示。[方法/过程] 利用内容分析法，以1982年至2017年36年间国家层面有关公共文化服务的90份政策文本为研究语料，从政策年出台数量、政策责任者、政策执行者、政策受惠者、政策手段、政策资源、政策目标7个角度进行分析，形成对我国公共文化服务政策发展趋势的初步判断。[结果/结论] 公共文化服务政策数量将呈现波动上升态势；政府继续发挥全面主导作用；公共文化服务参与主体多元化；公共文化服务更加均等化；制度化手段、经济手段、法律手段等将继续作为我国公共文化服务政策的主要手段；文化资源、资金等资源仍为主要政策资源；短期内我国公共文化服务政策目标宏观化。

[Purpose/significance] The analysis about policy trends of public cultural service attempts to provide enlightenment for the policy planning and making of public cultural service in the future. [Method/process] Based on 90 policy texts on public cultural services at the national level from 1982 to 2017, the article carried out analysis from seven perspectives, including annual policies quantitative statistics, policy makers, policy enforcers, policy beneficiaries, policy instruments, policy resources and policy objectives, and formed a preliminary judgment on the policy trends on public cultural service in China. [Result/conclusion] The number of policies on public cultural service will show an increasing trend; the government will continue to play a leading role fully; the participants in public cultural services are diversified; public cultural services will tend to be more equal; institutionalized means, economic means and legal means will continue to be the main policy instruments; cultural resources and capital remain the main policy resources; the policy objectives of public cultural services in China will be macroscopic in the short term.